Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 3.001160 3.465366 3.974271 4.573142 5.258173 6.016881 6.920526
2025-02-09 2.339461 2.943208 3.660173 4.572715 5.701669 7.050919 8.784301
2025-02-16 1.877545 2.547356 3.400537 4.563355 6.103098 8.067985 10.761514
2025-02-23 1.490941 2.166440 3.083229 4.412178 6.282350 8.812443 12.486261
2025-03-02 1.181195 1.827915 2.758112 4.184391 6.305406 9.330097 13.955223
2025-03-09 1.006724 1.649545 2.623998 4.195704 6.651606 10.322610 16.200462
2025-03-16 0.841277 1.454511 2.431007 4.082227 6.783912 11.002177 18.049457
2025-03-23 0.774827 1.405980 2.456411 4.309380 7.468149 12.594708 21.487877
2025-03-30 0.703341 1.336107 2.434146 4.449869 8.021108 14.030952 24.829221
2025-04-06 0.622817 1.236504 2.345024 4.459174 8.345152 15.114038 27.688576
2025-04-13 0.523022 1.084764 2.140483 4.231120 8.215282 15.393500 29.170099
2025-04-20 0.483994 1.044073 2.134798 4.368747 8.765578 16.928965 33.056312
2025-04-27 0.463221 1.039155 2.201108 4.661715 9.661491 19.223365 38.658830
2025-05-04 0.423867 0.989209 2.171144 4.759452 10.189416 20.886020 43.253998
2025-05-11 0.384765 0.933441 2.121206 4.808852 10.625267 22.417199 47.763236
2025-05-18 0.336523 0.848943 1.997785 4.684192 10.681658 23.194486 50.837139
2025-05-25 0.288093 0.755587 1.840814 4.462406 10.497824 23.450779 52.847097
2025-06-01 0.262578 0.713738 1.795024 4.486083 10.857729 24.888867 57.521664
2025-06-08 0.231738 0.653163 1.696340 4.371818 10.888120 25.613766 60.713488
2025-06-15 0.224511 0.653202 1.744739 4.618636 11.792388 28.371821 68.740461
2025-06-22 0.212648 0.638736 1.754788 4.771378 12.488451 30.727143 76.086654
2025-06-29 0.195101 0.605443 1.711725 4.782870 12.837862 32.311912 81.793321
2025-07-06 0.168547 0.541528 1.578433 4.539795 12.514686 32.262857 83.588950